Regions
Northwest Coastal.
Confidence
Fair - Intensity of incoming weather is uncertain on Thursday
Weather Forecast
Thursday: 10-15cm of snow / strong southwest winds / freezing level climbing from surface to 450m throughout the dayFriday: Very light snowfall / light westerly winds / -12.0 at 1500mSaturday: Light snowfall / light to moderate westerly winds / -12.0 at 1500m
Avalanche Summary
Some size 1.5- size 2 natural slab avalanches failing from recent wind loading in the souther part of the region.Widespread explosive-controlled size 4-4.5 activity in the Bear Pass area on tuesday.
Snowpack Summary
Some areas (Terrace, Kaziks) are reporting an alpine snowpack of 5 metres. In these areas the mid-december surface hoar is buried down about 250 cm with a well settled and strong 80 cm above. These deeper snowpack areas are reporting that there are no shears except in the top 50 cm of storm snow; and these shears on recent stellar crystal weakness are expected to bond within the next few days. Areas that experienced very strong winds during the recent storm may have thick windslabs that may take another couple of days to settle. The lower snowpack is generally well settled and strong.Expect new wind slab development with forecast wind and snow.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.
Storm Slabs
Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.