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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 22nd, 2019–Mar 23rd, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Northwest Inland.

Human triggering of large persistent slab avalanches remain possible; especially in rocky, alpine terrain with a shallow or highly variable snowpack depth.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with isolated flurries; 0-3 mm. / Strong, southeasterly winds / Alpine low -3 C / Freezing level dropping to 1200 m.SATURDAY: Cloudy / Moderate, southwesterly winds / Alpine high -2 C / Freezing level 1200 m.SUNDAY: Sunny / Light, southeasterly winds / Alpine high -1 C / Freezing level 1400 m.MONDAY: Mostly sunny / Light, northeasterly winds / Alpine high -1 C / Freezing level 1500 m.

Avalanche Summary

Natural avalanche activity will taper off with the cloudy skies and cooling temperatures. Concern remains for human triggering persistent slab avalanches on a layer of facets that are down 30-50 cm.

Snowpack Summary

30-50 cm of well settled snow overlies weak facets (sugary snow) that were around March. 10th. which is currently the primary layer of concern for human triggering persistent slab avalanches.Lower down in the snowpack, the base is composed of weak facets. Large avalanches initiating on these facets are most likely in rocky, alpine terrain where there is a shallow or highly variable snowpack depth. They would likely require a large trigger such as a cornice fall, snowmobile, or a group of people standing in the same spot.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.