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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 31st, 2019–Apr 1st, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Hazard could be higher than forecast if sunny conditions prevail. Keep an eye on local conditions. This is the time of year for early starts and early finishes.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Some weather forecasts are calling for 5 to 10cm of new snow overnight, but this snowfall will likely be sporadic across the region. Freezing levels will be near 2200m for the next few days with generally light and variable winds. A good solid freeze is unlikely tonight due to lingering pockets of precipitation and extensive cloud cover.

Avalanche Summary

Nothing new observed today (limited field observations), but recent loose wet avalanche activity up to size 1.5 has been occurring most days during the peak of the air temperatures and/or intense solar radiation.

Snowpack Summary

The snow from last week has settled to between 5 and 10cm of dry snow on high elevation Northerly aspects. Otherwise most areas now sport a surface crust that melts during the day and re-freezes overnight. Isolated pockets of wind slabs can be found in Alpine areas near ridgelines. The basal layer of facets/depth hoar is alive and well, and has been reactive in isolated areas when the snowpack heats up and looses its strength. Travel conditions below treeline involve ski penetration to ground unless you stick to a previously well-established up-track.

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.