Avalanche forecast

Kananaskis

Dec 10 – 11, 2014Alberta Parks
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Archived · expired 12 years ago

Avalanche danger

Fri
Sat
Alpine
4 · High
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
3 · Considerable

Highlights

With no Freeze expected over the next 36hrs below 2400m, conditions will remain "Sporty".  There is really no good skiing out there at this time so be patient for a while yet. 

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1–4
    Pockets of persistent slabs failing on the Nov 24th facet layer may be a concern in isolated features such as gullies and ridgelines.
  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2
    Loose wet point releases in steeper terrain below the freezing levels.  This may be above treeline in some areas so water the thermomotor.
  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    2–4
    Rain and warm temps have the potential to wake up this basal layer.

Confidence

Fair - Freezing levels are uncertain on Thursday

Weather Forecast

Freezing levels are expected to remain above 2200m until friday when we will finally see some cooler air move into the region.  We may see a spattering of rain and or snow throughout the week but forecastd amounts are not expected to be that significant.  Freezing levels and the lack of any freeze are key issues at this time.

Avalanche Summary

A few loose wet slides from steeper terrain on all aspects up to 2400m

Snowpack Summary

Rain is falling at this time as high as 2300m.  Below this elevation the snowpack is moist and settling rapidly.  Above this elevation the region has been hit hard by the strong winds from last week and many area are looking pretty rugged.  Long term this warm temps and settlement will help consolidate some of the weak layers but right now, it sure makes skiing an unpleasant thought!

Regions covered