We are at the mercy of the overnight lows these days. Monitor the overnight temps to help with snowpack decisions. The overnight recovery (ie. good freeze equals good recovery) will determine the next day's snowpack conditions.
Weather Forecast
The overall temperature trend will be rising with little overnight change. The freezing level for the coming days will be about 2000m each day. No precip or significant weather until Friday night. There is a small front moving through that may give 10cm's of snow at higher elevations and rain/sleet at lower elevations. Winds won't be a problem as they're expected to stay in the light/moderate range.
Avalanche Summary
We have an ongoing cycle that is directly related to the daytime heating. Most areas at treeline and below become isotheral and wet avalanches occur daily. There have been a number of large avalanches in the past while on the basal layers.
Snowpack Summary
Spring conditions are in full swing these days. The freeze thaw cycles have just reached into the alpine for the past few days. The near surface layers are all going through daily freeze/thaw cycles. The entire snowpack is rapidly settling as the weather stays warm. The basal layers (the Oct10th in particular) have woken up in the last three days. There have been some large avalanches on this layer in the alpine lately.
Problems
Deep Persistent Slabs
Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.
Loose Wet
Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.