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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 15th, 2014–Mar 16th, 2014

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Up to 30cm of new snow is forecast to fall with strong westerly winds.  Watch for increasing avalanche danger throughout the day on Sunday.

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Sunday

Weather Forecast

A system is expected to cross over the region tonight and into the day tomorrow.  Up to 30cm of new snow is forecast to fall with strong westerly winds. 

Avalanche Summary

No new natural avalanche activity. 

Snowpack Summary

Not much change over the course of the day today.  Melt freeze crusts on solar aspects to the peaks, and widespread temperatures crusts below 1900m.  Most alpine terrain is wind affected with widespread wind slabs and isolated wind slabs at treeline.  The 0211 interface is down 70-100cm at treeline and continues to produce moderate to hard shears that are sudden planar in nature.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.