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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 24th, 2019–Jan 25th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Rising freezing levels on the weekend will increase the hazard. This may not be a widespread issue and you'll need to be keep aware to changing conditions locally, and over your head!

Weather Forecast

Friday: Mainly cloudy with scattered flurries up to a max of 4cm. High -6 C. Light west winds. A significant warm-up is forecasted for Saturday with uncertainty as to freezing levels. Continue to monitor forecasted temperatures and freezing levels. A detailed mountain weather forecast is available from Avalanche Canada.

Snowpack Summary

New wind slabs, variable levels of misery, er...wind effect and sastrugi in the alpine and exposed TL areas. In sheltered areas, 10cm of low density snow overlies a mix of old surfaces (facets and/or surface hoar and sun crust). This, over a strong mid-pack sitting on the deep persistent weaknesses of facets and depth-hoar.

Avalanche Summary

One wind slab size 1.5 triggered by a cornice in the Parkers Ridge Area from steep rocky terrain. Main area of concern is where overhead cornices threaten unevenly distributed snowpack areas, increasing the probability of triggering a deep weakness. Report, and read about riding conditions on Avalanche Canada's Mountain Information Network.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain on Saturday

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.