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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 19th, 2013–Mar 20th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

South Rockies.

Snowfall amounts are uncertain. If there's heavy snowfall in your area, the local avalanche danger may be higher than posted.

Confidence

Poor - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain for the entire period

Weather Forecast

Wednesday: Light to moderate snow. A period of intense snowfall is expected in the afternoon. Strong to extreme SW winds. Alpine temperature near -4.Thursday: Light to moderate snow. Light to moderate SW winds. Alpine temperature near -14.Friday: Light to moderate snow. Light winds. Alpine temperature near -11.

Avalanche Summary

On Monday, numerous loose snow avalanches to size 1 failed naturally in steep terrain. Natural avalanche activity is particularly likely at times of intense loading on Wednesday.

Snowpack Summary

New storm slabs may develop during Wednesday’s forecast storm. Wind-loaded slopes and spill zones (fans where snow accumulates below steep faces) may be particularly touchy. A buried rain crust may provide an easy sliding surface for avalanches. This crust is supportive to at least 2100 m in most areas and is up to 9 cm thick. It’s thought to be strong enough that snowpack weaknesses below it won’t be affected by the load of a person, with the caveat that there may be isolated exceptions (e.g. thin spots near rocks at high elevations). The mid-pack is generally well-settled. Cornices are large and fragile in some areas.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.