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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 11th, 2017–Feb 12th, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Coast.

Fresh storm slabs formed at treeline and above. Use small slopes with low consequence to test the bond of the storm snow.

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Seasonal temperatures and isolated flurries through the weekend. Significant warming Monday onwards. SUNDAY: Mix of sun and cloud / Light, southwesterly winds / Freezing level rising to 1500 m by late afternoon. MONDAY: Sunny with cloudy periods, warming significantly with highs to +5 CelsiusĀ  / Moderate southeasterly winds / Freezing level around 2700 m. TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy with spotty showers / High temperatures to +7 CelsiusĀ  / Light, southwesterly winds/ Freezing level around 2500 m.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches reported.

Snowpack Summary

We've had 15-25cm of (wet heavy) snow at treeline on Thursday into Friday, all sitting on 20-30 cm drier snow. This makes 50-70 cm of cumulative storm snow which is bonding well to a knife hard crust buried Feb 3rd. In the alpine, where all of the precipitation has fallen as snow, the storm slabs will remain touchy and possible to human trigger on Sunday. The mid and lower snowpack are settled and well bonded with the average snowpack depth at treeline 250-300 cm.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.