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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 2nd, 2016–Mar 3rd, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

South Coast.

Give the snowpack a chance to settle and adjust to the new load. Pick conservative terrain especially if the wind is blowing

Weather Forecast

THURSDAY: 10cm of new snow overnight with flurries through the day, moderate southwest winds, 1800m freezing level. FRIDAY: 15cm new snow, strong southerly winds, 1800m freezing level. Saturday 25cm new snow, strong southerly winds, 1800m freezing level.

Avalanche Summary

Artificially and naturally triggered storm slab, wind slab and cornice avalanches continue to be reported.   Cornices are large and fragile, and may fail under the weight of a person.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 50cm of new snow and strong winds have formed widespread reactive slabs.  The upper snowpack sits above a crust that was reported on all aspects and elevations with isolated pockets of surface hoar in high north facing terrain that stayed cool prior to the storm.   The mid-pack is generally well settled.  A layer of surface hoar buried in early January can now be found down 1-2 meters. In most places it is thought to be capped by a thick widespread crust.   However, in the north of the region it remains a lingering concern, producing isolated hard sudden planar failures in snow pit tests.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.