Danger could INCREASE TO CONSIDERABLE with intense radiation on south and west aspects. Be aware of how the warm weather is changing the snowpack.
Weather Forecast
Friday: Spring continues! Expect mostly clear skies and warm temperatures. Winds should be light northerly with alpine temperatures reaching 5.Saturday/Sunday: The high pressure system persists with more warm, clear and calm weather. Winds remain light northerly and temperatures climb a few degrees warmer each afternoon. Freezing levels could peak at 2700m in the afternoons and it is possible that Saturday night will not see a refreeze.
Avalanche Summary
Loose wet sluffs up to size 2.0 have been reported on south and west aspects. Isolated large cornice falls have also been reported; none of these recent cornice events have pulled slabs on the slopes below.
Snowpack Summary
Recent warm temperatures have created melt freeze crusts up to 2000m on all aspects and well into the alpine on south and west facing terrain. These crusts break down with daytime warming and the surface snow can lose cohesion as a result. The odd lingering windslab remains reactive on high, north facing slopes, but these have largely broken down due to near surface facetting from cool overnight temperatures. Cornices are huge! Various melt-freeze crusts are buried in the upper snowpack. In general, the bond at these interfaces is good. A layer of surface hoar (buried on March 11; now down about 90 cm) is still being observed in some locations, with hard results in snowpack tests. Mid and lower snowpack layers are well bonded.
Problems
Loose Wet
Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.
Cornices
Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.