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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 6th, 2014–Feb 9th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Waterton Lakes.

This prolonged period of stable weather has allowed the snowpack to settle and adjust. Although minimal avalanche activity can be expected, continued caution with the basal facets is certainly warranted as there are many thin areas to be found.

Weather Forecast

Cloudy with some flurries Friday, otherwise broken skies with light winds until Monday. A system is approaching Monday: expect warming and increased winds through Tuesday.

Snowpack Summary

About 20 cm of cold faceted snow is bonding poorly to a variety of surfaces: suncrust (S, SE) and previous wind effect open areas. Faceting also continues in the bottom 40 cm of the snowpack where depth hoar has now replaced old crusts. The slab of pencil snow above this provides all of the strength to our snow pack but this is extremely variable.

Avalanche Summary

Very little activity has been observed in the last 5 days with the exception of minor wind generate surface sluffing in very steep terrain.

Confidence

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.