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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 2nd, 2015–Apr 5th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Waterton Lakes.

Cooling has established supportive crusts to treeline. West winds have quickly created windslabs with small amounts of recent snow. Solar heating will be a factor.

Weather Forecast

Friday will bring sunny breaks with light to moderate winds west winds and a freezing level of 1900m. Saturday should be much the same with a freezing level at 1800m. More cooling can be expected for Sunday and Monday with flurries producing up to 15cm of snow.

Snowpack Summary

The entire snowpack was moist BTL and to ridgelines on solar aspects while on shaded aspects the top meter of snow was moist to treeline. With cooling over the last two days a solid crust has formed as the top 10 to 30cm has refrozen in these areas. A thin rain crust exists as high as 2400m on the shaded aspects. 5cm of new snow sits on all of this

Avalanche Summary

With the cooling over the last two days, slab activity has diminished however today loose moist activity was occurring with solar heating and loose dry activity could be seen on the shaded aspects as the new snow failed over the surface crusts to size 1.

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.