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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 31st, 2019–Feb 1st, 2019

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Coast.

Expect hazard to be HIGH in areas that receive snow instead of rain on Friday.

Confidence

Moderate - Freezing levels are uncertain

Weather Forecast

THURSDAY NIGHT: Rain/snow; 20-25 mm. / Moderate to strong, southwesterly winds / Low 1/ Freezing level 1500 m.FRIDAY: Rain/snow, 20-35 mm. / Moderate to strong, southwesterly winds / High 3 C / Freezing level 1400 m. SATURDAY: Cloudy with sunny periods / Light, westerly winds / High 2 C / Freezing level 1000 m.SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy with flurries; 5-10 cm / Light, southerly winds / High-4 C / Freezing level surface.

Avalanche Summary

No recent avalanches were reported in the region. However, a natural avalanche cycle is expected to occur on Friday in the alpine areas of this region.

Snowpack Summary

A significant amount of snow in the alpine and rain at treeline and below is forecast to bury the current snow surface which is either a crust or heavily wind effected.Below the surface, the remainder of the snowpack is currently well-settled and strong in most locations.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.