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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 7th, 2019–Jan 8th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

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The Bottom Line: You can trigger an avalanche in wind drifted snow. Thicker slabs and cornices exist at higher elevations. Variable and strong winds may load snow further down slopes than you may expect.

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

Several human-triggered avalanches were reported Sunday and Monday in the adjacent Mt. Baker area. These avalanches occurred on steep wind-loaded slopes. Most avalanches were small, however, one skier-triggered avalanche reportedly ran for over 200ft on a south aspect at 4800ft.

The first week of 2019 brought two potent storms to the region and numerous avalanches. Precipitation favored the western portion of the North Cascades. The first storm brought 6in of water in a two-day period (Jan. 2-4) to areas just north of Hwy 20. Several feet of new snow accumulated above 5500ft, while below, the effects of rain on the snowpack were most significant. The most recent storm (Jan. 5-7) brought 1-2ft of low-density snow above 4000ft and very strong southerly winds.   

As we experience a brief break in precipitation on Tuesday, keep in mind:

• Variable winds will continue to redistribute new snow forming fresh drifts, cornices, and wind slabs.
• Avalanche concerns exist within new snow. Mid and lower snowpack layers are strong.
• Snow height increases dramatically as you gain elevation: low coverage below 3000ft and 70-90in on the ground 4000ft and above.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.