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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 26th, 2017–Feb 27th, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Coast.

Keep an eye on the ongoing effects of the wind, especially at higher elevations. Expect instability in wind affected areas.

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. Winds light to moderate from the southwest. Freezing level to 400 metres with alpine temperatures of -6. Tuesday: Mainly cloudy with periods of snow bringing approximately 10 cm of new snow, beginning in the afternoon. Winds moderate to strong from the southwest. Freezing level to 700 metres with alpine temperatures of -2. Wednesday: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries and a trace of new snow. Periods of snow beginning in the evening. Winds moderate to strong from the southwest. Freezing level to 700 metres with alpine temperatures of -3.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported. Please post your observations to the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

About 5-20 cm of new snow from Thursday and Saturday lies on the surface in the region. Recent northerly winds are suspected to have redistributed some of the new snow into wind slabs in lee terrain at higher elevations. Below the new snow, the previous snow surface was a mix of sun crust on solar aspects and surface hoar on shaded aspects. The new snow's bond to these surfaces is beginning to strengthen, with snowpack tests producing resistant and inconsistent results on Saturday on the North Shore. The older storm snow found below the new snow interface is well bonded to the widespread mid-February rain crust, now down around 40-60 cm at higher elevations. The crust itself is supportive and roughly 20cm thick. Below the crust, the snowpack is still moist as a result of heavy rain in mid-February.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.