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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 31st, 2012–Feb 1st, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Sea To Sky.

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather is uncertain on Tuesday

Weather Forecast

Wednesday: moderate snowfall on tuesday night continuing through wednesday morning easing in the afternoon / moderate southwest winds turning light and northwest / freezing level at 900m Thursday: mostly clear / moderate southwest winds / freezing level at about 900m increasing in the afternoon Friday: clear skies with a significant warming trend / light to moderate southwest winds

Avalanche Summary

Numerous size 1 soft windslab avalanches were observed in the Whistler area on Tuesday. Expect continued avalanche activity with forecast snowfall and the trailing warming trend expected for late thursday/friday.

Snowpack Summary

Storm slabs that developed on the weekend have gained significant strength, as have the heavy storm snow accumulations from last week. Subsequent surface conditions are variable to say the least due to fluctuating freezing levels and strong winds during those systems.The big story is the snow forecast for Tuesday night. Moderate accumulations and moderate southwest winds will make for new windslabs and continued storm slab development. Cornices should also be on your radar as strong southwest winds and steady snowfall have contributed to impressive development.About a metre down there are a variety of older snow surfaces that formed throughout January. These surfaces include facets, old wind slabs, and crusts. These interfaces have also gained considerable strength, but triggering may be possible with a heavy load in isolated terrain.Previous concerns about deeper persistent weak layers appear to have diminished.Snowpack depths at treeline are in the region of 260 cm.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.