Dashboard Regions Weather Stations Radar Alerts Glossary
Contact About
Log In

Register for an account and never miss a forecast again!

Register

Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 26th, 2014–Feb 27th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Coast.

Above freezing alpine temperatures are expected to continue. Check out the new Forecaster Blog for an update on the “Touchy Weak Layer.”

Confidence

Fair - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Thursday

Weather Forecast

Overnight and Thursday: Warm air is expected to be trapped in the alpine overnight (temperature inversion), and continue to bring above freezing temperatures to the alpine on Thursday. Light Southwest winds are forecast overnight becoming Northerly when the arctic front slides down from the North. There is a chance of flurries Thursday evening depending on the timing of the cooler air.Friday: Freezing levels should drop down to valley bottoms overnight and then rise up to about 1000 metres with strong solar radiation and gusty Northeast outflow winds.Saturday: Clear and cold overnight. Gusty strong Northerly outflow winds becoming light Westerly as cloud moves into the region in the afternoon.

Avalanche Summary

No new large avalanches reported. Some thin wind slab releases up to size 1.5 due to reverse loading were reported. Snow-balling and moist loose avalanches were reported from Southerly aspects. Extensive explosive control did not result in any releases on the deeply buried weak layer in the Coquihalla area on Tuesday.

Snowpack Summary

In the southern portion of the region up to 200 cm of settled storm snow sits on a crust/facet combination buried in mid February. In northern sections this weakness includes surface hoar and is generally down 60-100 cm. Recent snowpack tests indicate that this weak layer may be gaining strength, but professionals remain suspect. The mid and lower snowpack are generally strong and well-settled. However, basal facets and depth hoar are likely to exist in the north of the region and still deserve respect on thin rocky alpine slopes.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.