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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 17th, 2014–Feb 18th, 2014

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Glacier.

We have a big snow load overtop a very reactive weak layer down around 1m. Approach open slopes at all elevations with a great deal of caution.

Weather Forecast

Low off the coast of Alaska continues to bring inclement weather from the Pacific to the Interior. Light snow is expected today with westerly winds 20-30km/hr. More significant snowfall is forecast later tomorrow with associated strong west winds.

Snowpack Summary

20cm of new snow sits over 1m of settling recent storm snow from the past week. The Feb 10 facet/surface hoar layer and 2 late January surface hoar layers lie beneath this 1.2m slab. This interface has been the cause of numerous natural avalanches over the past week.

Avalanche Summary

6 natural size 3.0 slab avalanches yesterday as well as several size 2.0 to 2.5 slab avalanches within the highway corridor. Backcountry observations have been limited but riders can expect to see lots of evidence of recent natural activity.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.