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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 14th, 2015–Feb 15th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Glacier.

Rain overnight has kept the upper snowpack wet to the tree line where triggering wet avalanches is a concern for riders. There is a chance that the sun can poke out of the clouds sooner than expected. Caution on sun affected slopes if this happens.

Weather Forecast

Lingering rain/snow this morning. Cooling temperatures and clouds dissipating later today as a ridge of high pressure strengthens over the Interior. We will finally begin to see cooler temperatures with a northerly flow of colder air into the middle next week.

Snowpack Summary

11mm of rain overnight and freezing levels to 1900m have further saturated an already moist upper snowpack below tree line. 15cm of new snow in the alpine. The Jan 30 crust layer is down ~1m which formed a crust to 2200m with spotty surface hoar distribution. Jan 15 surface hoar layer is down 100-150cm. The mid and lower snowpack is well settled.

Avalanche Summary

Overnight avalanche cycle attributed to last nights rain event has released several size 3 avalanches within the highway corridor and one size 3.5. These avalanches are very spring like in character, leaving large and heavy deposits. More of such avalanches can be expected in the backcountry.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.