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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 12th, 2016–Mar 13th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Lingering instabilities and real overhead hazard requires continued caution and safe travel techniques.

Weather Forecast

Unsettled weather with clouds, scattered flurries and rain at lower elevations. Freezing levels rising to 1800m this afternoon, winds S 25-40 and up to 4cm of accumulation. Freezing levels drop tonight with a cold front and up to 6cm of snow with strong S winds. Light precipitation continues through Monday with high pressure later in the week.

Snowpack Summary

Wind slabs are widespread in the alpine and treeline. Warm temps and strong sun formed surface crust below 1700m and on solar aspects. Several crusts are present in the upper snowpack. Feb 27 is down 50-70cm is most reactive where SH overlies a sun crust. Feb 10 is down 100-120 and reactive in isolated locations. Well settled & strong below.

Avalanche Summary

Skier partially buried after triggering a wind slab below Illecillewaet Glacier. Cornice failures triggered slabs on a NW asp, sz 1.5 to 2.5. Cornice and icefall triggered sz 2.5 and sz 3.0 slabs in the Asulkan drainage, below Mt Leda. A cornice triggered a sz 4 avalanche failing to glacial ice on the N facing slopes of Parsons Peak (Loop Brook).

Confidence

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.