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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 27th, 2019–Nov 28th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Northwest Inland.

Danger is decreasing over the week, but avalanches are still possible in wind affected terrain.

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the limited number of field observations.

Weather Forecast

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear, 30 km/h wind from the east, alpine temperatures drop to -18 C.

THURSDAY: Sunny, light wind from the east, alpine temperatures around -10 C.

FRIDAY: Sunny, light wind from the northeast, alpine temperatures around -6 C.

SATURDAY: Sunny, light wind from the north, alpine temperatures around -6 C.

Avalanche Summary

No avalanches have been reported in the region, but it's safe to assume the storm over the weekend caused natural avalanches at higher elevations. The main concern this week is areas where wind may have blown surface snow into deep and reactive wind slabs. Concern is reduced in areas where the snow depths have not yet reach the threshold for avalanches.

Snowpack Summary

20 to 30 cm of snow accumulated in the region over the weekend. Since then cold windy conditions have likely formed wind slabs in open terrain. Observations in the region are limited, but we have indications that for most areas where previous snow cover existed, the new snow buried a thick crust. A MIN report from the Ashman area (west of Smithers) suggests the new snow bonded well to the crust, but that may not be the case elsewhere in the region. Given the lack of recent snowpack observations, we suggest carefully monitoring the bond of the new snow to this crust. Total snow depths are 50-100 cm in alpine areas around Smithers, with depths diminishing rapidly below 1500 m.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.