The snowpack is slowly strengthening; however, conservative decision making in bigger alpine terrain is still essential! We may see some snow late friday PM which would cause the danger to rise again.
Avalanche problems
Wind Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alpine
Treeline
Below treeline
Likelihood
Possible
Size
1–2
Surface windslabs formed on Jan 18/19 can be triggered by skiers and climbers. Feel for tension in the surface snow and avoid freshly windloaded terrain.
Deep Persistent Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alpine
Treeline
Below treeline
Likelihood
Unlikely - Possible
Size
2–3
In shallower snowpack areas (most of the region) the weak base of the snowpack persists and could be triggered in steep, rocky terrain features. Although in some areas, the Dec. 18th layer persists, management of both layers should be the same.
Weather Forecast
Thursday and Friday look to be similar to the last few days - mild temperatures, light winds and scattered clouds. Friday afternoon, we should see increased winds from the West and 10-15 cm's overnight with freezing levels rising to ~1500m.
Snowpack Summary
The snowpack remains fundamentally weak, with a combination of windslab, surface hoar and basal facets all causing concern in different types of terrain. Snowpack tests continue to produce moderate to hard sudden results on the basal weakness/ Dec. 18th interface which has become one and the same in many areas.
Avalanche Summary
No natural avalanches observed, but forecasters on Mt. Field reported a couple large whumphs in an open area below treeline, indicating human triggering of deeper weak layers is still possible in the right terrain.
Confidence
Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Saturday