Avalanche forecast

Fiordland

New Zealand Avalanche Advisory
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Avalanche danger

High Alpine · above 1,800 m
1 · Low
Alpine · 1,200 m–1,800 m
1 · Low
Sub Alpine · below 1,200 m
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired 3 weeks ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Windslab from a week ago is expected to have settled. There has since been light snowfall from the NW and then south along with strong winds and the snow is wind scoured in many places.

On Saturday a few centimetres of snow are forecast above about 1500m and are not expected to affect stability much.

Continue to use some caution if you are near ridgetops on the steep ground.

Please submit any observations you make. They are most appreciated.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • All elevations
    Likelihood
    Unlikely
    Size
    1.5

    Windslab from last week is expected to have settled.

    Strong winds and small snowfalls over Sunday and Monday may have seen snow redistributed and some sort of windslab build near the ridges. This snow is expected to be largely settled.

Recent Avalanche Activity

Fri 31st- Some small windslab in the Earl Mountains lee to Sth winds over Fri

Thur 30th July- some natural activity reported in the Homer area over the day. Slab to sz 2.

Please see the public observations for some photos from the Darran's on Sunday. Cold dry snow, very wind affected. Some cliff band activity observed. Isolated cracking seen when skinning on wind loaded areas in Homer area.

Observations from Milford Track area, Darran's and Routeburn on 20 July -Slick frozen conditions below 17/1800m. Only the highest peaks (North Peak, Talbot, Mt Christina) had some slopes with enough snow to cover terrain features and look wind loaded.

Current Snowpack Conditions

Tues 4th -Thur 6th 3 days of calm and clear should have seen the snowpack settle and strengthen. Below 1600 is still patchy cover.

Mon 3rd Aug. Up to 10cm fell from the south, down to 1200m, with strong winds. Expect some slab near ridgelines.

2nd Aug- Snow from Thursday and Friday got to settle over Saturday and Sunday. Strong W wind over Sunday is expected to have stripped the West facing slopes of snow.

Fri 31st- The storm total is around130mm of precip, which should equate to around 70cm of snow above around 1600m and less below where there has been a mix or snow and rain.

Fri 31st- Around 30cm snow fell over the day. Snow was initially down to 1400m but later in the day down to 400m. Expect continued slab development lee to initially the west and then the south. The snow below around 1400m is expected to be lying over a rain crust.

Thur 30th July- in northern Fiordland about 30cm fell from the NW over the day, with snow initially down to about 1700m and then down to about 1100m.

Wed 29th July- In northern Fiordland around 10cm fell over Wednesday, down to around 1850m.

Mon 27th July-Currently the snowpack is starting to become more stable, as temperatures rise after 3 days of very cold temps. In Northern Fiordland an estimated 50cm cm fell from the South to SW above about 1700m between Wed 22nd and Fri 24th July, with rain below this for most of the storm. Temperatures dropped at the end of the storm and snow fell to 600m.

Prior to July 24th the snowpack was very shallow, with most slopes below 1700m being below threshold (not enough snow to avalanche). Only slopes at the highest elevations had a layered pack.

Mon 21st July - Below around 1800m the thin snowpack had a mixture of rain and snow over the week of 13th to 18th July, culminating in rain up to about 1750m on Saturday the 18th. This snowpack is generally thin, with much of it still below avalanche threshold, and rainsoaked and refrozen. Above about 1800m there has been about 80 or 90 cm fall in northern Fiordland and about 60cm in the south, from a series of westerly fronts over the week of 13th to 18th July. There were warm temperatures on Saturday 18th and this snowpack is now thought to be stable, with possible remaining wind slab at the high elevation areas lee to the west but should be treated cautiously as there have been not observers in the field.

Mountain Weather

Forecast for Sat

Showers, possibly heavy and thundery until evening, with snow possible above 1400 metres.

Wind at 1000 metres

Northerly 45 km/h, dying out in the afternoon.

Wind at 2000 metres

Northwesterly 50 km/h, easing to 30 km/h in the afternoon, then dying out in the evening.

Freezing level

1700 metres.

Issued: 12:53pm Fri 7 Aug

Sliding Danger

Surface conditions are variable, with wind scouring on windward slopes. Take an axe and crampons if you're exploring.

Forecast Confidence

Moderate

  • We are uncertain due to a limited number of field observations.
  • We are uncertain due to a highly variable snowpack.

New Zealand Avalanche Advisory (NZ Mountain Safety Council)

Regions covered