Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 6th, 2016 4:31PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada shorton, Avalanche Canada

Make conservative terrain choices because the storm snow will take longer than usual to settle.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

WEDNESDAY: Sunny, light north winds, treeline temperatures at -8.THURSDAY: Flurries with accumulations of 5-15 cm by the afternoon, 30-50 km/h southwest winds, treeline temperature at -6.FRIDAY: 20-50 cm of new snow, 20-40 km/h southwest winds, treeline temperature at -4.

Avalanche Summary

On Monday, storm slabs were very touchy with numerous size 1 skier triggered avalanches running on all aspects, and several size 1.5-2 avalanches triggered remotely. The avalanches were running on a widespread melt-freeze crust below the storm snow, which will continue to be touchy with human triggers.

Snowpack Summary

Monday delivered 40-60 cm of new snow to the South Coast, with the heaviest accumulations on the North Shore. The new snow likely sits above a supportive melt-freeze crust, providing a bed surface for storm slabs to run on. The new snow was not bonding well with the crust on Tuesday, and may take longer than usual to stabilize due to the cold arctic air currently over the region. The lower snowpack is well settled and strong. Total snowpack depths are 160-200 cm at treeline, with isolated pockets deep enough for avalanches at below treeline elevations.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
40-60 cm of recent storm snow sits above a widespread rain crust and is expected to be touchy to human triggers. Storm slabs will be extra thick and reactive on leeward features.
Use conservative route selection, choose moderate angled and supported terrain with low consequence.Avoid steep, open slopes.Evaluate unsupported slopes critically.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

2 - 2

Valid until: Dec 7th, 2016 2:00PM