Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain

Tuesday: Flurries with periods of snow, accumulation 15-20cm / Moderate to strong southwest wind / Alpine temperature 1Wednesday: Snow, accumulation 10-20cm  / Moderate to strong southwest wind / Alpine temperature -1Thursday: Snow, accumulation 20-30cm / Moderate to strong southwest wind / Alpine temperature -0

Expect avalanche activity to stay on the rise with new snowfall accumulating Sunday night into Monday combined with moderate wind and warming temperatures. There was natural avalanche cycle Sunday night into Monday morning with avalanche releases up to size 2. Reports indicated that avalanches to size 1.5 were being easily triggered with ski cuts.

Up to 50cm new moist or wet new snow overlies the variable old snow surface from late last week, which includes well settled snow on southerly aspects, loose snow on shaded aspects, isolated pockets of surface hoar, and sun crusts on steep southerly aspects. With the potential for buried surface hoar means storm snow weaknesses from this latest storm will take longer than normal to stabilize. An old rain crust is reported to be down 150 cm in the North Shore mountains. This layer is still failing on snowpack tests, but is likely difficult to trigger in most places now.