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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 20th, 2014–Feb 21st, 2014

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Northwest Coastal.

The storm slab on a large weak layer is the most serious concern these days. Be conservative in terrain selection. Check out the latest. Blog post.

Confidence

Fair - Due to the number and quality of field observations

Weather Forecast

The bulk of the Pacific fronts should move out of the area by mid day Friday, although there may be some small "squall" precipitation events before the area cools down and clears off. Cold weather in the forecast for early next week.Thursday night: Freezing level at valley bottom, light flurries with possibility of 5 to 10cm in the forecast. Winds at ridge top gusting to50 Km/h.Friday: Freezing level around 100m , no precipitation in the forecast. Cool dry air moves into the region, ridge top winds up to 50Km/h.Saturday:Freezing level around 100m, no precipitation, sunny,..(Yay!), ridge top winds from the north @ 25 Km/h.Sunday: Cold clear weather, freezing level at valley bottom ridge winds around 30 Km/h.

Avalanche Summary

Reports of large natural avalanches have diminished int he past 24 hrs, but there have been a number of skier accidental, skier controlled and skier remote avalanches reported.

Snowpack Summary

Parts of the forecast region have received over 1.75m of cumulative storm snow which has now settled into a slab with a typical thickness of 60-90cm. This storm slab overlies a variety of facets, surface hoar, crusts, hard wind press, or any combination of these. Widespread whumpfing, cracking, natural avalanche activity and remote triggering at all elevations are a strong indication of poor bond between the new snow and these old surfaces. Snowpack tests show easy, sudden collapse within the storm slab. This storm slab problem will be with us for a long time as it is sitting on a large weak layer . Even when the ``whumping``stops,..it will still be dangerous, with potential for large, destructive avalanches as the slab settles and gets denser..

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.