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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 28th, 2015–Mar 29th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Kananaskis.

The snowpack is isothermal at lower elevations. Hazard levels will be highly dependent on the quality of the overnight freeze and the extent of daytime heating and solar radiation. Keep an eye on localized conditions.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Mainly cloudy on Sunday with no precipitation expected. Alpine temperature should reach -2 °C, with ridge wind out of the west: at50 km/h gusting to 90 km/h. Freezing level are forecast to reach 2100 metres.

Avalanche Summary

Several loose wet up to size 2.0 observed on all aspects below 2400m. Extensive snowballing at treeline and below.

Snowpack Summary

5 to 15cm of heavy wet snow fell at treeline in the past 36hrs, with rain below 2200m. Snow conditions are isothermal below treeline and boot penetration is to ground. Thin storm slabs are present in the alpine on all aspects.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.