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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 31st, 2015–Jan 1st, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Although the Avalanche Hazard is Low, Ice Climbers should be cautious on steep solar exposed gulleys.  A temperature inversion and solar input is triggering loose snow avalanches in this terrain.

Weather Forecast

Blocking high pressure and connected ridge is deflecting all weather systems.  A strong temp inversion will peak on Saturday with alpine temps well above freezing expected.  Valley bottom temps will moderate through the weekend.  All temps begin to slide as the new week begins and no precipitation in the near future. 

Snowpack Summary

Variable wind slab in open or exposed terrain.  Sun crust forming  on steep solar aspects due to warm alpine temperatures.  In most areas the snowpack = Surface facets on a supportive mid-pack that is bridging basal facets. 

Avalanche Summary

Numerous loose snow avalanches to size 1 reported along the Icefields Parkway Thursday afternoon on steep solar exposed gulleys (ice climbs).

Confidence

The weather pattern is stable on Friday

Problems

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.