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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 4th, 2014–Dec 5th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Jasper.

Warmer temperatures will encourage many to get out an enjoy the new snow.  Keep in mind that the snowpack is still weak and needs more time before pushing into big terrain.

Weather Forecast

Temperatures continue to warm into the weekend.  Cloudy skies will bring light precipitation and winds are expected to remain light from the south.  Expect some light wind transport in exposed areas like ridgelines.

Snowpack Summary

Last weekends massive snowfall continues to settle prompting widespread whumphing in open treeline areas.  Team had moderate test results (CTM11) on a facet layer above a crust near the base of the pack on an E facing 25 deg slope at 2000m (TL) in the Parkers Area.  Alpine snowpack has more strength with hard results on a similar aspect at 2200m.

Avalanche Summary

No new observations along the Parkway today.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations on Friday

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.