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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 18th, 2013–Feb 19th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

The recent storm snow is still settling in yet evolving into a windslab. Pockets of instability may exist where the snow fell on a smooth surface and is resistant to bonding. Identify and evaluate these features of concern when traveling. 

Weather Forecast

Tuesday to Thursday will be seasonal temperatures, clouds with flurries of 1-3cm accumulation, Northwest switching to Southwest winds, and cold nights. No significant change expected. 

Snowpack Summary

Saturday's 20cm of snow has settled down to 10-15cm. It is developing into a surface windslab on SE slopes with NW winds. As the winds shift Southerly, slabs will build on NE-NW aspects over the next few days. These new slabs are sitting on previous hard slab and sastrugi surfaces which bridges the weak basal facets near the ground.

Avalanche Summary

Sunday in the Icefields, only two small storm snow slab avalanches were noted from steep NE facing rocky treeline slopes. No other avalanches were observed along the Icefields Parkway and visibility was good. Several size 2 avalanches were noted on Sunday in the Whistler creek alpine. No new naturals were noted Monday and visibility was good.

Confidence

Due to the number and quality of field observations

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.