Avalanche forecast

San Francisco Peaks / Kachina Peaks Wilderness

Kachina Peaks Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Mon
Alpine
1 · Low
Treeline
1 · Low
Below
1 · Low
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Highlights

Avalanche hazard has decreased over the last week, however, that does not mean that there is no risk. Anticipate the weekend's rapid warming to create possible wet loose avalanches on steep low elevation terrain. In addition, mid and high-elevation north and northeast slopes should be assessed with caution due to persistent slab instabilities.

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely
    Size
    1–2.5

    Some starting zones on north and northeast slopes still have a buried weak layer near the base of the snowpack.  Recent observations indicate that the presence of this weak layer, found deep below the snowpack at ground level, is diminishing.  However, the distribution of this problem may vary significantly, even in adjacent locations.  While triggering a slide of this type will be unlikely, the consequences will be severe.  The only way to determine the presence of this problem is to examine the snowpack, and in many loaded areas this could create a dangerous situation.

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–1.5

    With predicted warming, anticipate possible wet loose avalanches on lower elevation slopes on west, south, and east aspects. Generally, these releases will be small (D1-1.5), however, these could pose a threat to travelers in specific areas (i.e., extreme terrain, terrain traps, etc.). Backcountry travelers should assess slopes carefully, especially later in the day, and keep an eye on lower-elevation sunny slopes looking for signs of warming, such as roller balls. 

Avalanche Discussion

The last few weeks' winds and fair weather have created firm conditions at higher elevations, and backcountry travelers have reported that crampons or ski crampons can be helpful for traveling above treeline.

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