Be alert for wind slabs behind terrain breaks such as ridges and ribs.
Persistent Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alpine
Treeline
Below treeline
Likelihood
Unlikely - Possible
Size
1–4
A mixed bag of weak interfaces is buried about 40 cm down. With forecast warming temperatures, it’s possible that the snow above will form into a more cohesive slab over the next few days.
Confidence
Fair - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Friday
Weather Forecast
Thursday: Moderate NW winds. Alpine temperature near -4. Light snow.Friday: Light W winds. Alpine temperature near -2. No snow.Saturday: Light W winds. Alpine temperature near 0. Sunny skies, with valley cloud.
Avalanche Summary
Size 1 to 2 loose dry avalanches have been failing with natural and human triggers in steep terrain. A few slabs to size 2 have also been observed, in some cases failing on a crust/facet interface below recent storm snow.
Snowpack Summary
NW winds have redistributed 15-40 cm of recent snow into soft or hard slabs on lee slopes in the alpine and at treeline. In areas not affected by the wind, loose snow is sluffing easily in steep terrain. The new snow sits on a variety of old surfaces including surface hoar, facets, hard slabs and crusts. Deeper, about 50-60cm down, a weak interface buried in early January exhibits moderate to hard, sudden results in snowpack tests. The snowpack below this is generally well bonded.