Avalanche forecast

Purcells

Apr 24 – 25, 2014Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 12 years ago

Avalanche danger

Sat
Sun
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low
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Highlights

Avalanche danger can rise quickly with daytime warming and solar radiation. Be aware of changing conditions and overhead

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1–3
    Moderate winds have redistributed recent snow and wind slabs may be found in lee features on North through East aspects.  Below 2200m these slabs may be sitting on a recent melt freeze crust.

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    1–3
    Expect loose wet avalanches in steep terrain if it is raining or during sunny periods, especially if the sun or rain is affecting fresh snow

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely
    Size
    3–6
    The potential for very large deep slab avalanches needs to remain on your radar. Cornice fall, warming temperatures or a smaller wet or wind slab avalanche in motion could act as triggers.

Confidence

Poor - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Synopsis: Unsettled weather will persist throughout the forecast period as a series of fronts slowly moves across the province.Tonight and Friday: Flurries with total accumulations of 5-10cm / light southeasterly winds / Freezing levels 2000mSaturday: Flurries / Light southerly winds / Freezing levels 1800m.Sunday: Flurries /Light southwesterly winds / Freezing levels 1800-2000m.

Avalanche Summary

Expect loose wet avalanches in steep terrain if it is raining or during sunny periods, especially if the sun or rain is affecting fresh snow. Spring squalls may bring locally heavy precipitation and new storm or wind slabs may develop in higher terrain if you see significant new snow accumulation. Cornices collapses have been reported during periods of daytime warming. Occasionally these heavy triggers have caused large deep slab avalanches on the slopes below.

Snowpack Summary

This is a broad general summary of conditions in the region. This summary is based on limited field data and should be supplemented with local observations to help assess avalanche danger.Over the past week or so the Purcells have seen moderate amounts of new snow mixed with showers or periods of rain below 1600-1800 m. Southerly winds have likely formed pockets of wind slab at higher elevations in lee of ridges and terrain features. The upper snowpack generally consists of layers of moist and/or dry snow mixed with several well bonded crusts.Several persistent weak layers still exist in the highly variable snowpack of the Purcells:-The mid-March sun crust/surface hoar layer down 50-80cm and the early-March crust/facet/surface hoar layer down around 80-120cm seem to be laying dormant for the time being.-The mid-February crust/facet/surface hoar combo is typically down 60 - 120cm. Direct triggering of this layer has become unlikely, however, cornice fall, a smaller avalanche in motion or prolonged warming may wake this layer up. The resulting avalanche would be very large and destructive.- Weak basal facets can be found in many areas, however triggering this layer is unlikely.

Regions covered