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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 18th, 2018–Feb 19th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Sea To Sky.

Wind slabs at higher elevations are the primary concern. Sheltered trees offer the best and safest riding.

Confidence

High - The weather pattern is stable

Weather Forecast

MONDAY: Sunny with moderate north wind and alpine high temperatures around -12 C.TUESDAY: Mostly sunny, light wind, alpine high temperatures around -12 C.WEDNESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries, moderate north wind, alpine high temperatures around -10 C.

Avalanche Summary

Several small wind slabs (size 1) were reported in alpine terrain on Sunday, including a few that ran on buried sun crusts that were up to 60 cm deep on west and south aspects. The wind slabs were reactive to skier and explosive triggers.More widespread avalanche activity was reported during the storm on Saturday, including many size 1 skier-triggered slabs and a few size 2 natural slabs out of alpine terrain.

Snowpack Summary

In sheltered terrain, cold weather is preserving 30-40 cm of low density snow. In exposed terrain, strong north winds have scoured north facing slopes and loaded south facing slopes. A crust layer can be found beneath the storm snow on sun-exposed slopes and below 1900 m, which has supported some wide propagations in recent storm slab avalanches. Deeper in the snowpack, avalanche professionals are still monitoring the mid-January crust. This layer is now 150-200 cm deep, but a heavy trigger (cornice?) or the next major storm could potentially wake up this layer.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.