Avalanche forecast

Purcells

Mar 15 – 16, 2018Avalanche Canada
View on map
Archived · expired 9 years ago

Avalanche danger

Sat
Sun
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
1 · Low
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

There is some snow on the way but forecasted amounts are not expected to have much impact on hazard ratings.  Watch for pockets of lingering wind slab at upper elevations.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2
    Pockets of reactive wind slab can still be found in leeward areas in the alpine. In the northern part of the region, these slabs may be sitting on a layer of surface hoar on shaded aspects at treeline as well.

Confidence

Moderate - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Weather Forecast

TONIGHT: Flurries. Accumulation 5-10 cm. Ridge wind light, southwest. Alpine Temperature near -5. Freezing level 700 m.FRIDAY: Cloudy, light flurries. Accumulation trace. Ridge wind light, northeast. Alpine Temperature near -6. Freezing level 1700 m.SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy, flurries. Accumulation 5-10 cm. Ridge wind light, east. Alpine Temperature near -4. Freezing level 1600 m.SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy, light flurries. Accumulation 2-6 cm. Ridge wind light, northwest. Alpine Temperature near -5. Freezing level 1500 m.

Avalanche Summary

Numerous wet loose avalanches were observed in the region to size 2.5 over the past several days on sunny aspects. As well as both skier and sledder triggered wind slabs up to size 1.5 on south east to west aspects On Sunday we received reports of a skier caught in a size 2.5 avalanche in the north of the region. The slab was 20-50 cm thick and started on a steep north east aspect immediately below ridge crest at 2300m. See the MIN post for more details.

Snowpack Summary

A light dusting of new snow now covers a crust on all but high elevation northerly aspects which still hold loose, dry snow above a generally well-settled snow pack.A couple of layers buried in mid-late February (down around 40-100 cm) have shown limited reactivity of late. Persistent slabs have been triggered on shady aspects, where surface hoar and/or facets exist. Deeper persistent weak layers from January and December are generally considered dormant, but could wake up with a surface avalanche stepping down, cornice fall, or a human trigger in a shallow or variable-depth snowpack area. These layers consist of sun crust, surface hoar and/or facets. Facets also linger at the base of the snowpack.

Regions covered