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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 24th, 2018–Feb 25th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Coast Inland.

Storm slabs have formed with recent snowfall. Expect them on all aspects with thicker slabs in lee features, loose dry snow in sheltered areas, and looming cornices on ridgelines. Treat the hazard higher if you see more snow than forecasted.

Confidence

Moderate - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Weather Forecast

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 10 to 20 cm, strong southwesterly winds, alpine temperature -10 C, freezing level below valley bottom.SUNDAY: Cloudy with intermittent snowfall, accumulation 5 to 10 cm in the south of the region, light to moderate westerly winds, alpine temperature -13 C, freezing level near 500 m.MONDAY: Partly cloudy, light westerly winds, alpine temperature -12 C, freezing level 700 m.TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy with light snowfall, accumulation 5 cm, light to moderate westerly winds, alpine temperature -10 C, freezing level 800 m.

Avalanche Summary

Cornices were triggered by explosives in the north of the region on Saturday, which produced up to size 2 avalanches.Expect natural and human-triggered avalanche activity to increase with the recent snowfall and strong winds.

Snowpack Summary

Around 10 to 20 cm of storm snow fell Friday night and another 15 to 30 cm is forecasted Saturday night into Sunday. These storms have had strong westerly winds associated with them. Expect touchy storm slabs on all aspects with thicker slabs in lee features. All of this snow fell on previously wind-affected surfaces. The new snow may not bond well to these surfaces and could be reactive to both natural and human triggers.In the southern parts of the region, a widespread crust exists around 40 to 80 cm deep. Well-consolidated snow exists below the crust.Also make note of cornices at ridgeline. Variable winds in the past month have produced cornices on all aspects. They will become touchier as they grow in size, as temperatures rise, and as the sun packs a strong punch on clear days. Stand well back of them and avoid them from below!

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.