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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 25th, 2018–Mar 26th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kootenay Boundary.

Fresh slabs overlie a touchy layer of crusts and buried surface hoar. Assess the bond between the new snow and the old surface before committing to bigger slopes.

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

MONDAY: Flurries. Accumulation 5-10 cm. Ridge wind moderate, southwest. Alpine temperature near -5. Freezing level 1100 m.TUESDAY: Flurries. Accumulation 10-15 cm. Ridge wind strong, west. Alpine temperature near -3. Freezing level 1600 m.WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Ridge wind moderate, northwest. Alpine temperature near -6. Freezing level 1500 m.

Avalanche Summary

Explosive control work on Sunday produced numerous size 1.5-2 storm slab results all failing in the recent storm snow (25-40 cm deep) on northwest and north aspects above 2000 m.Saturday we received reports of several remotely (from a distance) triggered and skier-triggered size 2 storm slab release that failed 40-50 cm deep on a mix of buried crusts, surface hoar and facets. Explosive control work also produced size 1.5-2 storm slab results running on a crust on southeast aspects from 1900 -2000 m. Read more here. And here.On Friday there were reports of natural (size 1.5-2) storm slab releases on north and west aspects in the alpine that were suspected to have failed overnight during the storm, as well as size 1 skier triggered storm snow releases in steep, leeward terrain.Reports from Thursday included activity in the recent storm snow including sloughing and small (size 1) storm slab releases from 10 - 20 cm thick above the most recent crust.Prior to Thursday storm there were no significant avalanche observations to report from earlier in the week.

Snowpack Summary

Around 20 - 40 cm of new snow has fallen with moderate to strong southeast to southwest wind. This snow sits on a mixture of weak grains including a slippery crust that is present at all elevations on solar aspects and all aspects below 1900 m elevation. On northerly aspects at and above treeline the new storm snow is burying a mix of large surface hoar and surface facets.Two other weak layers are present in the upper snowpack. The mid March interface is down 30 to 60 cm and it resembles the old surface; crust on solar, surface hoar on high elevation north.The early March interface is 50 to 80 cm below the surface and is similar in composition to those listed above.A few other persistent weak layers are buried in the mid and lower snowpack, but they have gone dormant and are unlikely to resurface until we move into a period with consecutive above-freezing nights later in the spring.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.