Avalanche forecast

Kananaskis

Mar 19 – 20, 2018Alberta Parks
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Archived · expired 9 years ago

Avalanche danger

Wed
Thu
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
1 · Low
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Temperatures are expected to be cool, but avalanche hazard will rise on sunny slopes during even short exposure to the intense March sun. Look to sheltered northerly aspects for better quality skiing.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2
    Wind slabs should be expected in alpine terrain along ridgelines and in gully features. These slabs do not appear to extend far downslope.
  • Loose Dry

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–1.5
    The loose dry problem should moderate somewhat by Tuesday, but any time there is intense solar radiation watch for loose wet avalanches out of solar aspects.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Weather models are in poor agreement, but it is most likely that Tuesday  will be mostly cloudy with a few sunny periods and occasional flurries. Alpine temperatures will climb to near -7 °C, with ridge-top winds out of the west at 20km/h. Freezing levels is forecast to reach 1800m. Wednesday and Thursday look to be very similar in terms of weather.

Avalanche Summary

Several loose dry avalanches up to size 1.5 in steep Alpine terrain on all aspects.

Snowpack Summary

New snow amounts are highly variable depending on drainage and elevation, with some areas receiving as much as 20cm of low density in the past 24 hours. This new snow sluffs easily in steep terrain in the Alpine on all aspects, and is running further on aspects that have a buried crust under the recent snow. Multiple buried sun or melt-freeze crusts now exist on most aspects with only sheltered northerly aspects escaping this condition. Variable wind slab conditions in upper Alpine on lee and cross-loaded features, but slab avalanche activity has tapered off in the past 48hrs.

Regions covered