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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 11th, 2019–Feb 12th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Strong winds have created rock-hard slabs in the alpine. Wind slabs are now on the opposite side of the mountains due to the N winds. Beware of triggering slabs from shallow snowpack areas, especially on S-SW aspects.

Weather Forecast

Sunny with cloudy periods and an alpine high temperature of -17C along with light ridge wind from the NE. Increasing cloud tonight with light flurries. Tuesday's forecast calls for light precipitation along with light SW winds and alpine high of -11C. Wed/Thurs will be mixed sun/cloud with temp's remaining in the mid-minus teen's.

Snowpack Summary

Saturday's strong NE winds have created widespread wind slabs. These lay on a suncrust on S and W alpine aspects. Storm snow has been redistributed and is faceting due to the cold temps. Weak layers of concern, the Jan 31 and Jan 17 interfaces (surface hoar and sun crust), are down ~50cm and ~70cm at tree line.

Avalanche Summary

Natural activity has tapered off with alpine winds dying down. Several natural avalanches sz 2.5 to 3 were observed from N and S aspects on Park One, Smart, and Tupper from previously controlled slopes. No reports of human triggered avalanches yesterday after numerous reports from Saturday during an intense Northerly wind event.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.