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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 1st, 2012–Apr 2nd, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

A skiers accidental sz 2.5 avalanche on Sunday in the Miners gully stepped down to ground indicating that the warm temps may be waking up some of the deep persistent weaknesses. Stability will decrease quickly when the sun comes out so use caution.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Isolated snowfalls are in the forecast for monday but forecasted amounts are not expected to be that significant. Temperatures will remain cool with daytime highs at 3000m around -10C. Strong solar radiation will deteriorate stability on solar aspects on Monday so use caution when travelling in these areas.

Avalanche Summary

Skier accidental sz 2.5 avalanche in the miners peak gully around 10:30am. Start zone was a crossloaded steeper feature on a NE aspect at 2300m. Crown was 100-160cm deep stepping down to ground in a few areas. Skier was carried for 300m but remained on surface. No Injuries.Numerous Na up to size 2.5 on S and SE aspects related to cornice collapses. Appeared the bed surface for the majority of these slides was the March 29th Temperature crust.

Snowpack Summary

Moist snow being encountered on solar aspects by as early at 10:00am. Moist snow on all aspects below 1900m by mid day. March 29th Temperature crust buried down 40-60cm with recent snow and touchy storm slabs are being observed on this layer. Winds spread storm and wind slabs developing in open wind affected terrain at treeline and above. Mainly on N and E aspects. Mid pack well settled. Valentines day surface hoar layer down 140-160cm and producing hard to no results.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.