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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 24th, 2012–Dec 25th, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Recently formed storm slabs in the Alpine have become slightly more sensitive to trigger as seen by a few small avalanche observations today. Great skiing in sheltered locations. MERRY CHRISTMAS!

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Christmas Day should bring cool temperatures and clear skies with very little wind. No precipitation is in the forecast.

Avalanche Summary

Several loose dry slides up to size 1 on very steep lee terrain in the Alpine. A few very thin slabs up to size 1 on S and SE aspects of Hero's Knob. One size 1.5 naturally triggered slab on SE aspect at 2500m. Slab was 50 to 60cm deep, 40m wide.

Snowpack Summary

Surface facetting and upper snowpack settling. Shears persist in previous HST. Nov rain crust has been inactive in recent field tests, but remains a concern in shallow snowpack areas.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.