Avalanche Forecast

Moderate -

Wednesday: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries and a trace of new snow. Light southwest winds. Alpine high temperatures to around -8.Thursday: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries and a trace to 5 cm of new snow. Light variable winds. Alpine high temperatures to around -7.Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. Moderate west winds. Alpine high temperatures to about -7.

Reports from Monday included observations of several wind slab, storm slab, and persistent slab releases from Size 1-2. Several storm slabs released naturally, while others were triggered by skier traffic or explosives testing. Most activity was focused on northwest to northeast aspects, however wind slabs were observed on all aspects. Slab depths ranged from 20-70 cm, owing to both wind effect as well as the variety of failure planes currently active. Numerous signs of instability have been noted in the snowpack over the past week, including whumpfing and cracking between 1700 and 2100 m, as well as two skier-triggered avalanches suspected to have released on the December 15 weak layer. Expect the potential to trigger persistent slabs to remain heightened as the upper snowpack continues to settle into a cohesive slab.Please share your recent observations through the Mountain Information Network.

15-25 cm of new snow is forming a storm slab and sitting on surface hoar in sheltered slopes and a sun crust on steep solar aspects. The snow fell with moderate to strong southwesterly winds in the alpine, which produced wind slabs in lee features at treeline and alpine elevations. Below treeline, storm slabs are mainly a concern in openings (e.g. cut blocks, gullies, cut banks).A warming trend and new snow is likely creating a dangerous slab above buried weak layers. About 40-80 cm of snow now overlies a layer of weak and feathery surface hoar from December 15. This layer is found most often around and below treeline but has been reported in the alpine as well. As the overlying snow continues to consolidate into a slab, this layer has the potential to create easily-triggerable, destructive slab avalanches. This has occurred in neighbouring forecasting regions with a similar snowpack.Deeper in the snowpack (70 to 110 cm), a November crust is producing variable snowpack test results, from sudden fracture characters to no result. This layer is considered dormant but could be triggered where the snowpack is thin.