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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 24th, 2018–Jan 25th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Northwest Inland.

Wind and storm snow have formed reactive slabs particularly on leeward and open slopes at upper elevations, while deeper weak layers are still active at lower elevations.

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

TONIGHT: Light flurries. Accumulation up to 2 cm. Ridge wind light, east. Temperature -10. Freezing level valley bottom.THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy, light flurries. Accumulation trace. Ridge wind light, east. Temperature -8. Freezing level valley bottom.FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy, light flurries. Accumulation trace. Ridge wind light, south. Temperature -10. Freezing level valley bottom.SATURDAY: Mix of sun and cloud. Ridge wind light, east. Temperature -10. Freezing level valley bottom.

Avalanche Summary

Tuesday there were reports of easily-triggered wind slabs 30-40 cm deep releasing to Size 1 in wind-loaded areas near ridge crests in the alpine.On Monday there were reports from areas north of Kispiox of reactive storm slabs up to size 1.5 and 25 cm deep releasing with skier traffic on steeper, convex terrain.Reports from Saturday included one remotely (from a distance) triggered Size 1.5 wind slab releasing from a steeper northwest-facing slope at around 1500 m. The slab depth was 40-60 cm.Friday's reports showed a notable increase in persistent slab activity at lower elevations in the Howson Range. In this area, three Size 2 releases failed on steeper terrain with remote triggers on the mid-December weak layer, found 50 cm below the surface. 

Snowpack Summary

Recent light snowfalls have gradually brought about 20-40 cm of new snow to the region. This new snow has buried the mid-January interface which features a crust that exists well into the alpine and isolated pockets of surface hoar in sheltered areas at lower alpine and treeline elevations. Below the mid-January interface, deeper weak layers in the snowpack include crusts and surface hoar layers that were buried late-December and mid-December and now lie 50-60 cm below the surface. Recent persistent slab activity over a surface hoar and facet 'combo' at low elevations suggests that a dangerous persistent slab problem may be developing as the mid and upper snowpack consolidate into a stiffer slab over this layer.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.