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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 22nd, 2017–Dec 23rd, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Kootenay Boundary.

The recent storm snow overlies a variety of old surfaces; including crusts and surface hoar, and has proven to be easily triggered by light loads such as a skier or rider. Check out the Forecasters' Blog here for some great advice!

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Ridge wind moderate from the northwest. Temperature -11. Freezing level surface.SUNDAY: Mix of sun and cloud. Ridge wind light from the southwest. Temperature -12. Freezing level surface.MONDAY: Cloudy, light flurries. Accumulation trace. Ridge wind light from the northwest. Temperature -12. Freezing level surface.

Avalanche Summary

On Thursday ski cutting produced small releases up to size 1 failing within the storm snow. On Wednesday numerous Size 1-2 skier, remote, and explosives triggered slab avalanches on primarily north to west aspects between 1800-2100m, failing both within the storm snow and on the December 15th crust/surface hoar layer; including a size 1.5 skier accidental.Earlier in the week numerous natural and skier controlled storm slab avalanches to Size 2 were observed on a wide variety of aspects and elevations, while explosive control produced numerous storm slab avalanches to Size 2.5-3 on southeast to southwest aspects.Also several classic signs of instability (whumpfing, shooting cracks, easy sudden results in snowpack tests) continue to be reported since Monday. See here, here and here for great MIN reports and video.

Snowpack Summary

Storm snow totals since Sunday average between 40-80 cm across the region, with the highest amounts in the Nelson area. This new snow has fallen on the "Decemebr 15th crust/surface hoar layer", a variety of old snow surfaces depending on aspect and elevation. On solar aspects a thin melt-freeze crust has been buried. On northerly aspects, feathery, surface hoar crystals (10-60 mm in length) have been buried below treeline as well as protected areas at treeline. In the alpine the old surface consisted of sugary snow (facets) and hard, wind scoured snow. Recent snowpack tests have produced very easy to hard, sudden and resistant results on the December 15th crust/surface hoar layer, indicating a high degree of variability and uncertainty in this layer. Below the December 15th layer, the late November crust is now buried 70-100 cm. Beneath this crust the lower snowpack is well settled..

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.