Avalanche forecast

Purcells

Feb 15 – 16, 2024Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 3 years ago

Avalanche danger

Sat
Sun
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Tracks on a slope do not mean it is safe.

Deep persistent slabs are a low-probability, high-consequence avalanche problem that are best managed by choosing to ride conservative terrain.

Avalanche problems

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    2.5–3.5

    A weak layer near the base of the snowpack is a concern where a crust buried 10 to 20 cm is not supportive. Generally at higher elevations in the alpine and steep, rocky, open features at treeline is where triggering this layer is possible.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Tuesday a few dry loose avalanches were reported out of steep terrain.

A large avalanche near Golden from Jan 29th reported in this MIN and pictured in this MIN, is a perfect example of the sporadic, deep persistent avalanche activity that continues to occur as recently as Saturday. Steep, rocky, treeline and alpine terrain where the crust is not supportive are likely trigger spots.

Snowpack Summary

New snow has buried various layers of soft snow, wind-affected, and sun crusts. Further burying a crust now down 15 to 20 cm. This crust is generally supportive but tapers in the alpine and may be unsupportive to riders.

The midpack is generally faceted and the lower snowpack contains weak faceted grains, depth hoar, and crusts that continue to produce sporadic large avalanches.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Clear skies. 10 to 20 km/h northeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -20 °C.

Thursday

Mostly sunny. 10 to 15 km/h northeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -15°C.

Friday

Clear skies and sunny. 0 to 15 km/h northeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -15 °C.

Saturday

Clear skies and sunny. 0 to 15 km/h north ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10°C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be mindful that deep instabilities are still present and have produced recent large avalanches.
  • Be aware of the potential for surprisingly large avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.

Regions covered