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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 27th, 2026–Feb 28th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Chic-Choc Mountains, Chic-Chocs.

There remains considerable uncertainty regarding the effect of extreme southerly winds and forecast precipitation on avalanche danger.

Take a conservative approach and take the time to carefully analyse conditions, which could change rapidly on Saturday.

Confidence

Low

  • We are uncertain about forecast precipitation amounts.
  • We are uncertain due to the variability of wind effect on the snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches reported or observed.

If you head into the backcountry, thanks for sharing your observations on the Mountain Information Network (MIN).

Snowpack Summary

The wind, rising temperatures and precipitation forecast for Saturday could significantly redistribute the snow in the mountains and change the situation in several ways.

At the time of writing the bulletin on Friday evening, accumulations since Monday have been highly variable depending on the sector. The southern part of the zone (Lyall, Hog's Back, Albert) received 15 to 20 cm of very light snow, while the Madeleine Mines sector recorded more than 30 cm. Spatial variability is therefore marked across the zone.

In the alpine terrain at Albert and at the tree line on Hog's Back Mountain, the snow has settled rather unevenly due to changing winds. In sheltered areas, it lies on firm surfaces or on a crust on sunny slopes. Larger accumulations are present in some areas of lateral loading, while western slopes generally remain lightly snow-covered.

Below the tree line and in areas protected from the wind, there is generally 20 to 40 cm of light snow resting on a gradually denser cover, with distribution varying greatly from one area to another.

At mid-mountain, the average snow depth is approximately 125 cm.

Weather Summary

WEATHER FOR THE CHIC-CHOCS RIDGES AND PEAKS

Saturday will be wild! Strong to extreme southerly winds in the morning and snow in the afternoon.

Friday evening and night: Partly cloudy. Light westerly wind becoming southerly at 30 to 40 km/h. Low of -18°C.

Saturday: Snow in the afternoon and evening, 5 to 10 cm. Winds from the south at 60 to 90 km/h, shifting to the west in the late afternoon. High of -2°C. Freezing level at 450 m.

Sunday: Cloudy. Wind from the west 20 to 40 km/h. High -17°C.

Monday: Sunny. Wind from the west 30 to 50 km/h. High -19.


For more details, see the Chic-Chocs alpine weather forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Wind slabs are most reactive during their formation.
  • Strong wind is building wind slabs farther downslope than usual.
  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • Watch for rapidly changing conditions during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.