Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 7th, 2025–Mar 8th, 2025

Alpine

Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Treeline

Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Below Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Alpine

Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Below Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Alpine

Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Below Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Northwest Coastal, Northwest Inland, Boundary, Stewart, Kispiox, Ningunsaw, Ningunsaw, Ningunsaw.

Enough snow should accumulate by Saturday for our newest weak layer to start showing off. Monitor new snow amounts and reactivity and manage the rising hazard with low-consequence terrain.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Persistent slabs were reactive on the February weak layer earlier this week, predominantly in the alpine. Naturals up to size 3, explosive controlled up to size 3.5 and skier remotes up to size 2.5 triggered from 100 m away. By Wednesday, reports of avalanche activity tapered dramatically.

Looking forward, new snow means an increase in likelihood of both surface avalanches as well as renewed possibility of large persistent slab avalanche activity.

Snowpack Summary

By Saturday morning 15 - 25 cm of new snow should have accumulated on a widespread layer of large surface hoar crystals, which sits on a crust on solar aspects and at low elevations. This should produce reactive or even touchy surface instabilities.

A layer of facets, surface hoar and/or a crust from mid February are buried 50 to 100 cm deep. This layer produced large natural and human-triggered avalanches earlier this week.

The remainder of the snowpack is well consolidated with no concerns at this time.

Weather Summary

Friday Night

Cloudy with easing flurries finishing with about 5 cm of new snow. 25 to 45 km/h southwest ridgetop wind, easing. Freezing level to valley bottom.

Saturday

Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries. 20 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures -6 °C. Freezing level 700 m.

Sunday

Cloudy with scattered flurries, negligible accumulation. 10 to 20 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperatures -7 °C. Freezing level 700 m.

Monday

Cloudy with increasing flurries bringing 5 - 10 cm of new snow, continuing overnight. 30 - 40 km/h south ridgetop wind, increasing. Treeline temperature -7 °C. Freezing level 700 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

Be aware of the potential for larger than expected storm slabs due to buried surface hoar.
Use small, low consequence slopes to test the bond of the new snow.
Dial back your terrain choices if you are seeing more than 25 cm of new snow.
Be mindful that deep instabilities are still present and have produced recent large avalanches.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.