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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 17th, 2023–Apr 18th, 2023

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Sea To Sky, Brandywine, Garibaldi, Homathko, Spearhead, Tantalus, Sky Pilot.

Stormy conditions continue, keeping the avalanche danger elevated.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Small to large (size 1 to 2) storm slab avalanches were triggered by riders, explosives, and naturally over the past couple days. Some of them were triggered by small pieces of cornices failing.

We anticipate similar avalanches will be likely for Tuesday.

Snowpack Summary

More snow is forecast for Tuesday, which will build on the 30 to 40 cm of snow from the weekend. Recent strong to extreme southerly wind made deeper deposits in lee terrain features. All this snow may sit on a weak layer of surface hoar crystals on sheltered and shaded treeline and alpine slopes. The snow overlies a hard melt-freeze crust on sun-exposed slopes and on all aspects below 1500 m.

The remainder of the snowpack is well-bonded.

Weather Summary

Monday Night

Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 2 to 5 cm with local amounts to 10 cm possible, 20 to 40 km/h southeast wind, treeline temperature -7 °C.

Tuesday

Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 5 to 15 cm, 20 to 40 km/h south wind, treeline temperature -7 °C, freezing level 1000 m.

Wednesday

Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 5 to 10 cm, 20 km/h south wind, treeline temperature -6 °C, freezing level 1300 m.

Thursday

Partly cloudy with isolated flurries, 10 km/h southwest wind, treeline temperature -4 °C, freezing level 1500 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Carefully monitor the bond between the new snow and old surface.
  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Pay attention to cornices and give them a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.