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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 27th, 2023–Nov 28th, 2023

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Vancouver Island, East Island, North Island, South Island, West Island.

You need snow for avalanches...Between the shallow snowpack and a new crust on the surface travel in the mountains will be challenging and hazardous.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

So far this season no avalanches have been reported on the Island. This should stay the same until we see another substantial snowfall.

Alpine climbers looking to extend their season might be the most likely candidates to encounter the limited avalanche hazard that currently exists.

Please consider filling out a MIN report if you are out in the backcountry.

Snowpack Summary

As the freezing level falls a new crust will likely form on all aspects and elevations.

Snowpack height at treeline currently ranges from less than 20 cm at Mt Arrowsmith to around 50 cm in Strathcona Park to 30 cm at Mt Cain. snowpack depths are deeper only in areas where the wind has drifted it in.

Check outthis MIN from Mt. Aerosmith.

Weather Summary

Monday Night

Cloudy with valley fog, no new precipitation expected, south ridgetop wind 5 to 15 km/h, freezing level around 2000 m.

Tuesday

A mix of sun and cloud with valley fog in the morning, no new precipitation expected, southwest ridgetop wind 5 to 15 km/h, freezing level falling to 1700 m.

Wednesday

Mostly clear, no new precipitation expected, southeast ridgetop wind 5 to 15 km/h, freezing level falling to 1000 m.

Thursday

Cloudy with 5 cm of new snow expected, southeast ridgetop wind 25 to 40 km/h, treeline temperature -4°C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Expect shallow snow cover that barely covers ground roughness.
  • Early season avalanches at any elevation have the potential to be particularly dangerous due to obstacles that are exposed or just below the surface.